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Back with bear market trends

Investors and traders should place close attention to the articles we wrote Saturday and Sunday. The Saturday article clearly points out the dramatic change of the percentage of the market that was short 1 month ago to how many short positions are held today. That change clearly indicates that we can expect less buy orders coming from those who need to buy to cover their short positions. In addition, the Sunday article brings out the point that our financial system is still very fragile and not out of the woods yet. […]

FDIC Truth, you can’t handle the truth!

We only had 84 bank failures this year yet the FDIC reserves are the lowest sense 1992. Worst, all the banks that are too big to fail are still within the system and now being supported with taxpayer’s money. These banks are still giving out millions in bonuses to non deserving employees. The biggest bank failure this year has been Colonial Bank, a REGIONAL bank in Alabama. But if you really want to keep reality in perspective, consider the fact that many National Banks are technically insolvent and only operating because of the trillion dollar unlimited government bailout. […]

Stock market rally or short squeeze?

The evidence is all around us as even many of the typical bulls were warning of a possible profit taking that never materialized. Let’s look at FNM for example a stock that was worth 60 cents a few months ago. Last month, FNM had 55.17 million shares shorted, or 5% of the total potential float. Less than 3 weeks later, it only has 156 thousand shares shorted, or about 0.14% of the float. Than we have BAC, last month Bank of America had 92.63 million shares shorted, or 5.5% of the total potential float. Less than 3 weeks later, it only has 229 thousand shares shorted, or about 0.13% of the float. Lastly, let’s look at AIG, last month it had 24.64 million shares shorted, or 19% of the total potential float. Less than 3 weeks later, it still had 24.15 million shares shorted, or about 18.7% of the float. But the last month, the stock has skyrocket over 400%. Let’s keep an eye on how many shares are still shorted next month. […]

Low volume + low volatility = change?

Given all this, we don’t recommend buying these companies at this time. Just because they can legally hide bad assets on their books until government has enough time to cause inflation doesn’t mean they are worth owning. With the potential of high risk is the risk of losing everything overnight. Instead, its you want to accumulate real wealth, buy distressed properties that are still 50% off peak prices and will generate cash flow. […]

Unemployment and FDIC report kill the rally

But as bad as the unemployment number was, the FDIC report was much worst. Over 410 banks are currently in the danger zone of being closed down. FDIC estimates 2/3 of the banks are insolvent. More than half of the banks reported revenues. The FDIC’s revenue fell by 20% from 1 year ago. Great, this report will surely fuel the rumors of the world wide bank holiday. […]

Turbo Tax Timmy evades the question!

So, Tax evader Tim Geithner agreed to answer a question from Digg.com that was most voted by the site users. The question asked was “Why has the Federal Reserve bank never been audited?” […]

Bank Holiday rumors spreading

“LAST MINUTE MESSAGE: Reliable word that Bank of America branch managers just received a letter or memo from the USFed instructing them to perhaps be ready for a one-week universal shut-down of the banking system, including access to checking accounts, savings accounts and credit cards. Reliable word has it that BofA bank branches received a shipment of signs last week, reading “We’re sorry, but due to circumstances beyond our control, we cannot be open at this time.”” […]

A lot of resistance for the US Market

The US dollar is now gaining strength and we hope that this trend continues. This will be clearly a drag on the overall markets, specially emerging market and commodities. What we are hoping to happen is a 5% to 20% strengthening of the dollar in the next 6 to 9 months. This would result in commodity prices going down and hyperinflation will be kept in check. Unfortunately for the equity markets, this will most likely result in a 7.5 to 30% correction. […]

Stock Market morning review

Today seems like a genuine positive day for the US stock market. The US dollar is getting stronger and moving opposite to its trend of late. Meaning that even though the dollar is up, the stock market is up pre market, and bonds are down. The only trend that’s slightly holding is that oil and other commodities are slightly down. […]

Riddle me this, 10 Billion USD loan to Petrobras?

Did you ever hear something that left you saying WTF, this cannot be true. Today I was told by a Petrobras employee in Brazil that the US government has agreed to give Petrobras 10 Billion dollars. Now, considering the Petrobras just received billions from China in a deal to provide oil for a decade, why on earth would it need to borrow more dollars to fund even more projects? More importantly, what kind of shenanigans is this? Oh, do not worries, we at Alphas Edge will break the news to you! […]