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January 2010
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2011 Arm bomb

After 10 months of stock market recovery, it seems that we are hitting resistance. Many have had their fingers on the sell/dump stock trigger for the last 2 months. All they are waiting for is the first sign of the Fed raising rates or removing liquidity from the system. Bernanke however has sense this panic and have over communicated to the market over and over that there is no plan for raising rates in the near future. The economic news however is starting to look dim again. You just can’t keep firing people to increase profits. At some point, no one will have a job, no taxes will be collected and the whole system collapses. Mid 2010 we will be experiencing the first wave of the Arm mortgage time bombs that are about to explode. These diabolical mortgages will peak its destructive power in 2011. It is safe to say that house prices aren’t going to go anywhere any time soon. […]

Data negated

Some Wall Street “personalities” are trying their hardest to pump the market back up pointing to whatever good data they can find. Unfortunately, for each data found there is a statement disclosed between the lines that completely negates it. For example, LEN went up 12% yesterday on news that the company earned 19 cents a share (although $1.50 something of that was a tax rebate from carrying loses back eons, the Chris Dodd affect). Without the tax credit, the company would of have reported a 1.30 loss…ouch. Today’s unemployment data was very similar. There was the strong sign of an improvement in the employment number, “only” 85K people lost their jobs. At the same time, 661K people left the work force and real unemployment is well over 17%. Unrealistic expectations are exuberantly high, the vix is shockingly low, and credit is tightening. O where oh where is the market heading! […]

Goldman sued by shareholders

Another lawsuit targeted at Goldman Sachs executives and their ridiculous bonuses. Personally, I think Goldman is a bunch of criminals and for some reason the SEC aren’t going after them. For example, they have openly admitted about their high frequency trading programs that are technically illegal! Those programs are the same exact thing as painting the tape, an illegal practice of conducting trades to give an impression of a higher volume of trade than are actually taking place. […]

Gold and Madoff

Gold today was up despite a strong dollar. Although the market was volatile and the “reported economic data” even more volatile, gold saw a strong demand all day long. There is no hint what so ever from the Fed (Bernanke) about when rates (if ever) will be raised. We at Alphas Edge just keep wondering what kind of fool is willing to give cash and received nothing back in return. Well, maybe it’s time to keep the money in the mattress. If the Fed has no plan to raise rates, than this is a CLEAR indication that the economy is still in trouble and at risk of collapsing. On an unrelated topic, there are rumors in the internet that Madoff is hospitalized for severe facial injuries and collapsed lungs. I hate to speculate, but no way could this have happened from 1 fall off a prison bed as they claim. Maybe if Madoff was continuously jumping off his bed in different positions, the story would be more plausible. I just cannot believe that it is not being reported on the major news networks. […]

From one bubble to another

Gold, Oil and just about everything else went higher today, much higher. Was this a signal that the bull market has more to run? Well, don’t ever underestimate those that lack ability to reason. Bernanke gave a whorish of a speech reemphasizing easy money policies and low rates. What he is really saying is, do not worry bankers, I won’t take away your punch bowl too early. Glad to see that those hard working ethical bankers who really care about society will be able to make the millions they deserve. […]

2010 Market outlook

2010 will be much like the previous few years. Fraud and manipulation will run wild until the economy starts to sparrow downwards again. Because Bernanke is spineless and Obama loves bankers, inflation will be the biggest challenge we will face in 2010. They will continue to do whatever it takes to print our way out of this mess. We are now entering the 11th year of a 20 year like Japan economic catastrophe. […]

2010! We made it!

2009 was a difficult year for many. I am sure glad it is over, time to make new resolutions! Have a happy New Year too all. […]