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September 2017
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The Bears are bulking up in the shadows

                The world has turned firmly bullish again and it seems nothing can bring down the US stock market.  The DOW has made an incredible run sense the March lows.  Every sell off is met with higher lows and new people willing to overbid the market up.  Most want and need inflation to create a floor to falling asset prices.

                This is why the Bears have the upper hand.  The change of momentum can only slow and the feel good emotion of the market can only fall.  The books are already legally cooked, so the change now is to increase banks reserves and decrease leverage.  Inflation is exactly what we are going to get so interest rates will have to be increased.  The middle class is in shambles from the wealth greatest transfer ever in the United States.  There % of share shorted are now smaller than the average during modern history (so less folks to short squeeze).

                All the bears need is a trigger to cause an Alpha bull to cash in his huge gains.  This trigger can be anything from tax season, fed increase of interest rate, falling dollar, trade war, FDIC running out of money, or Fed removing the safety net.

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