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Obama is desperately trying to convince the American public and his colleagues in Washington that war with Syria is an obligation. This is a grave mistake which would result is World War III. Obama is failing miserably at the key issue and that is convincing the world that we have the obligation to prevent the mass killing that’s occurring in Syria.
Maybe Obama has the same flaw that I have, which is a benevolent moral conscious. In this case, the desire to save the innocent Syrian people who want to live in peace but are caught up in a power struggle. If this is the reason he wants to go to war with Syria, we and the people of the world would support him.
His current strategy for gaining support for Syria is extremely flawed. Even if he gains support from his friends in Washington, he achieves nothing positive (in fact, he only makes the situation worst). Obama needs an advisor who is intellectually superior to those he currently has around him. In addition, one that was born outside of the United State, speaks multiple languages, and relates to the people around the world (but loves America).
The problem Obama inherited was that the United States reputation as “the good guys” was destroyed by George Bush. The world did not support the second Iraq War. Our new reputation is that of “aggressors who steal resources, in particular oil”. Obama can give millions of eloquent speeches about why we need to go support the rebels in Syria, and that will achieve nothing. People around the world will interpret his speeches as a false flag.
Does this mean all is lost to Obama? That the world, and in particular I would never support intervention in Syria? Absolutely not, Obama needs a change of strategy. No good, kind, loving person can watch the gassing and killing of innocent man, woman, and children without guilt. A benevolently moral conscious demands the protection of the innocent regardless of potential cost. So why not focus on this reason? Obama must convince the world that this is the reason we have to go into Syria.
Obama needs a new plan! First, he needs to change the goal from supporting the rebels to ending the Syrian civil war. Next, he needs to form an international coalition to achieve this new goal. What I am proposing is this coalition jointly invades Syria, with the goal of disarming both sides and ending the civil war. Than after the war ends, assist the country in rebuilding a better society.
Invite everyone to join this coalition and explain that the world in good conscious cannot accept what is going on in Syria. Ask the Russians to co-sponsor it. Show the world Russia’s true intention. I’m starting to see a lot of people thinking that Russia is the new “good guys”. If this is true, Putin would agree to such a nobel goal. The consequence of this action would show everyone what his true intentions are. Those that just want the suffering to end will select the coalition of the conscious. Those that favor one side over another, will chose not to join. At least the world will see who the good guys are and are not.
We at Alphas Edge are working very hard to create useful tools for investors to assist them in finding great investment opportunities. As we grow, we are looking for exceptional investors who would like to share their investment opportunities with Alphas Edge. If you are an independent investor who happens to know (or enjoy finding) exceptional investment opportunities, feel free to email us at alphasedge@gmail.com. Note however, that Alphas Edge will do a deep analysis on the investment prior to posting and supporting it. Our goal is to ensure our investment advice is the best free advice in the entire web.
There is a bundle of great projects in the work to make the site a phenomenal resource for investors. First, let’s cover what an alphas edger can expect this year!
On A Weekly Basis
- Monday through Friday, a pre-market article summarizing the previous day events and that days expectation.
- Saturday an article discussing alphas edge website updates, changes, and new features.
- Sunday will be spent on web site development.
What Was Done This Recent Week
- Created the “Contact Us” page.
- Created “The Alphas Edge”, a free-online (for mobile phone) newspaper for investors. Now you can get the top stories on your smart phone from various news agencies.
- We have started to actively tweet, follow us on twitter.com.
- Updated internal web site structure.
What Will Be Done In the Near Future
- Started on Special Project #1 … this is hush hush
- Member only page that contains articles specific to an investment opportunity.
Not all tasks and projects will be listed on the Saturday updates. We are currently working on some crazy-market disrupting-projects (3 big projects and 1 amazing project). Most likely, ONE of these larger projects will be implemented by year end.
On Thursday, the markets finished with its third consecutive green day. It appears that this market is news bound. Unlike typical markets however, the big news results is small sharp moves that quickly retrace the precious move.
We believe that there is a logical explanation for this. Many of the driving forces behind the markets move these last few days have been inherently neutral.
Let’s take better than expected economic data or peace with Syria for example. When economic data has been much better than expected or war with Syria becomes less of a possibility, the market flies higher. Then the US Treasuries start to climb higher, talks of the Fed tapering QE this month is back on the table and the market heads lower. (In this case gold sells off)
Or the contrary happens. Worse than expected economic data is release or war with Syria begins to seem like it is inevitable, the market crashes lower. Then the risk off trade takes place. The US treasuries start to drop and talks of ending QE is off the table for the near future. (In this case gold goes higher)
This trend should come to an end with the resolution of the Syria issue (either war or no war).
Today, Syria war appears to be less of a possibility, leading to the market opening slightly green. With good news comes the bad news, the increase if US Treasuries and therefor interest rates. The 10 year is approaching 3%. The focus this morning is jobs with the August nonfarm payrolls, nonfarm private payrolls, unemployment rate, hourly earnings, and average workweek.
Yesterday the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 (regaining its 100-day moving average (1640/1641) all ended the day green. War with Syria appears to be off the table due to extremely high public and international opposition. However, our leaders are trying their best to convince the nation that a conflict with Syria is an obligation. As if…
We are disappointed with our leaders because they forgot something very cherished to a democracy. The politicians are there to represent the desires of the people, NOT the other way around. They represent us! Never let them forget that we are the boss. The leaders should not be convincing us of anything, that’s not what they are there for. Just the mere action of Obama having to “sell” the war to the people should raise a red flag in their little brains.
Getting back to markets, now that the economic recovery is gaining traction, treasuries are feeling the pressure. The benchmark 10-yr yield ended higher by 5 basis points at 2.894%. Even more impressive was the move in the 2-yr yield, which gained four basis points to end at 0.462% (highest level since June 2011).
Today is going to be an exciting day. We already learned that Global QE in ongoing when Japan, Europe, and Britain all have left their respective rates unchanged. This is the type of environment where betting against the market is hazardous to your health (and wealth). The highlight today is going to be watching how Obama performs at the G-20 meeting in St. Petersburg. Putin is not going to be welcoming Obama with open arms, but at least Obama is allowed to attend (unlike John Swiftboat Kerry). In addition, Brazil expects (and deserves) an apology. What kind of so called amigo spies on its friends? With everything that’s going on and yesterday’s gain, it’s hard to identify which direction the market will head. If we follow global markets, we are heading higher.
Yesterday morning the bulls were in control and the US market started the day green. The good feeling did not last long thanks to politicians who were once again trying to rally the nation into war. Clearly, every day Americans, the troops, and nearly everyone else around the world don’t want the United States of America to intervene in Syria. However, a hand full of leaders supports this war.
As an attempt on being optimistic, we at Alpha’s Edge are trying hard (very hard) to understand those leaders. We know that they have information and plans which we don’t. But why take a chance when the potential cost of a bet is so high and the potential gain is so small?
What is the best possible outcome that can come from intervening in Syria?
• The side we support wins.
• Once again we show the world we are in charge.
• Some of our (the US) friends will be happy with us.
• Control of more natural resources.
What is the worst possible outcome that can come from intervening in Syria?
• The start of WWIII, which in this case we WOULD lose.
• Nuclear war.
• New York City , DC, Miami, Boston, New Port, Honolulu, San Diego, San Francisco, Los Angeles,
Seattle and other coastal cities getting nuked by subs resulting in millions of American civilians dead.
• Global economic collapse (at least at first).
What the war would not achieve?
• Bring peace to the Middle East.
Sure, many of you are thinking there is no way we Americans can lose. We however strongly disagree with this assessment and feel that this is a war that we are guaranteed you lose. There are several reasons for this. The two that matters the most are; the world isn’t on our side and the American people (and troops) do NOT want this war. It is one thing asking people to give up their lives to defend their country and family. It is a completely different animal to ask people to give up their lives so the rich can get richer.
Now that we are done ranting, Today’s morning market briefing is similar to yesterday in the aspect that the only news that matter is Syria. The market is unsure and in fear, that is a recipe for a significant move in either direction. War is priced in slightly more than no war, so an up move would be significantly higher than a down move. With that said, this is a market you don’t want to be short because lots of resent good economic data has been priced out due to Syria.
Yesterday, Global markets were on fire while the US market was closed for Labor Day. Brazil’s IBOVESPA was up 1, 826 [3.65%]. At least for now, war with Syria is suspended and the world is at relative peace. Oil prices continue to go down and that is good for the economy.
Today, the US market is pointing to a strong open. Japan’s Nikkei 225 is up +405 (2.99%) to 13,978 indicating that the bulls are back in control. Obama is doing the right thing and is letting congress decide what actions, if any, to take against Syria. The US is a democracy again, wrong or right, the peoples representatives get to decide!
Happy Labor Day!
Labor Day, the first Monday in September, celebrates the social and economic achievements of American workers by giving them a day of rest. It commemorates the much unappreciated contributions workers have made to the prosperity, strength, and well-being of our country (and therefor the world). It is our favorite Holiday.
Recapping last week, the stock market started last week green when the economic data came in weaker than expected. It seemed that bad news was bullish again by keeping interest rates low. In fact, the market remained green for most of the day on Monday. Then, with an hour left of trading, John Kerry discussed the possibility of an attack on Syria. This resulted in the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all dropped over 1% to end the day red.
By Tuesday’s morning, it was clear that the mood had changed. Throughout the session, broad-based selling resulted in the major averages settling on their lows for the day. The probability of U.S. military involvement in Syria became definite. This realization was the jolt required to move the market lower. Oil, treasuries, and precious metals benefited from the fear of war and became as expected the safe haven investment. The session was the most active in days. There was a possibility for war as early as Thursday.
On Wednesday, the bipolar markets once again changed its sentiment. The reduction of QE was less of a certainty for September because of the looming war. Ironically, the war itself (or it no longer appearing eminent) gave the market a light rebound. The market realized that there is nowhere else to invest and went back to risk on mode. Throughout the session, cautious broad-based market melt up continued. World War III with Syria was downgraded to tomahawk missile-ing airfields and turning Syria into a no fly zone.
Thursday, good news in the morning shocked and owed the markets. The second quarter GDP was revised up to 2.5% from 1.7%. Realizing that good news (GDP growth) was in fact not so good news, a late day reversal canceled much of the days gain.
Last week ended with a selloff on weak volume. No one wanted to be long (or short) during the weekend for fear of a volatile opening on Tuesday. The Dow Jones finished the week at 14,810.31, or -30.64 (-0.21%). The S&P 500 ended at 1,632.97, a decline of 5.20 (-0.32%) and the Nasdaq ended at 3,589.87, a decline of 30.43 (-0.84%).
Today the US markets are closed for the Holiday. However, throughout the globe, life goes on. Productive people are still producing. From ATX to TSEC, global equity markets are raging green on solid volume. We are just glad not to be short this market. If tomorrow opens like today did around the world, we might see some massive short squeezes.
We at Alphas Edge are working very hard to create useful tools for investors to assist them in finding great investment opportunities. As we grow, we are looking for exceptional investors who would like to share their investment opportunities with Alphas Edge. If you are an independent investor who happens to know (or enjoy finding) exceptional investment opportunities, feel free to email us at alphasedge@gmail.com. Note however, that Alphas Edge will do a deep analysis on the investment prior to posting and supporting it. Our goal is to ensure our investment advice is the best free advice in the entire web.
There is a bundle of great projects in the work to make the site a phenomenal resource for investors. First, let’s cover what an alphas edger can expect this year!
On A Weekly Basis
- Monday through Friday, a pre-market article summarizing the previous day events and that days expectation.
- Saturday an article discussing alphas edge website updates, changes, and new features.
- Sunday will be spent on web site development.
What Was Done This Recent Week
- Created a structure to build to grow a social network for independent investors.
- Started to work on the contact us page.
- Reorganized internal web site structure.
What Will Be Done In the Near Future
- Contact us page.
- Member only page that contains articles specific to an investment opportunity.
Not all tasks and projects will be listed on the Saturday updates. We are currently working on some crazy-market disrupting-projects (3 big projects and 1 amazing project). Most likely, these larger projects will be implemented by year end.
Yesterday, the market was shocked and owed with unexpected good news. The second quarter GDP was revised up to 2.5% from 1.7%. At first, it seemed that good news was bad news. The US market began at the lows. However, once the news was out that the good news (GDP growth) was in fact not so good; the market climbed most of the day on weak volume. In the afternoon, a late day reversal canceled much of the days gain.
Thankfully, the upward revision to GDP growth did not suggest that the economy is on fire. Nearly all the entire upward revision came from a stronger-than-originally reported trade deficit. This however is likely to reverse in the third quarter because the increase in GDP pulled potential growth from the third quarter.
Although the market finished green, one sector did not do so well. Fears of the war with Syria not escalating hammered the energy sector. Energy sank 1.1%, dragged down by the selloff in crude (-1.9% to $107.98 per barrel).
Today, the market is expected to open green again. Considering that it’s a Friday “a happy day”, the last trading day of the month and the last workday before a Holiday, I’m expecting a good positive day.
On Wednesday , the market realizing that there is nowhere else to invest went back to risk on mode. Throughout the session, cautious broad-based market melt up continued. Much of the issues causing the Tuesday panic did not materialize (as expected). World War III with Syria was downgraded to tomahawk missile-ing airfields and turning Syria into a no fly zone. The market appears ready to sell off, but as predicted it didn’t. The whales wanted a sell off (P/E ratios are relatively high), but they didn’t get one. With rates this low, real state so overvalued and forever emerging markets currencies devaluing, US equity markets still overs the best potential return.
Today, futures are pointing again to a slightly green open. The market is back in wait and see mode. Its waiting for bad news to happen so we can sell off, which would cause rates to remain low and risk on back in play.
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