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December 2009
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Gold, bullish as ever

I notice that a lot of folks are now openly bearish on gold. Yet, all the reasons to be bullish on gold are not only present but still growing. Gold is the only back up reserve currency to the dollar. As countries all over the globe print currency, gold will go higher proportionately to printing. If countries start to lose faith in overprinted currencies, the sky is the limit for gold. Lets no forget that gold is still the only true hedge against inflation. […]

Can you say, manipulate?

There is NO DOUBT in my mind that the stock market is currently 100% manipulated by a few players. Yes, I’m saying that a small group of people who hold (or have say over) a large amount of capital decides if the stock market will go up or if it will go down. Sure, there will be definite market forces that will make their will bend and turn, but they will be the driving force. Today for example, a quadruple witching day, we saw huge volumes as expected yet the market barely moved. It was almost like all the trades were known before hand and the counter trades required to keep the market stable was placed there to meet the other side of the trade. Mathematically, it is impossible for a day where a huge volume of trade would not cause a significant move in the market either direction. It’s like looking at volume in terms of a “force” and its ability to move the market. Volume into stock means up, volume out of stock means down and so forth. So it is surprising that a huge force such as today did not move the market in any direction. The stock market has become just like Vegas! Some will win, most will lose, but the house will always take its share of the game. […]

Reverse Saucer!

All the signs are there pointing toward a correction. The charts are screaming over bought conditions no matter which analysis you use! The reverse saucer is so distinct that even ET who phone home about it. The low low volumes (besides merger/bailout issuance) are clear indications that prices have gotten way ahead of itself. Than Europe credit issues are once again immerging inadvertently strengthening the dollar. The question now is will everyone who is short the dollar be squeezed like puss filled whitecaps? The reverse dollar correlation still holds, so a strong dollar is bad news for equities. […]

Bernanke boy, it’s both!

Sure, Ben today said that he is still worried about deflation, and not inflation. The unemployed and in the middle class are wondering where the hell in Ben from. The middle class is having a severe devaluation of their purchasing power and savings. So for those, it is a serious period of inflation because they are making less but spending the same for fewer things. Sadly, we are also having deflation of assets because there is still a large credit bubble bursting. Home prices are nowhere near the levels that can be supported by income. […]

One new regulation needed

The one good consequence that came out of this economic collapse was the tightening of rules and regulations for the Wall Street criminals. As much as they claim that they are working on solving the problem, there is still one clear conflict of interest in the structure of Wall Street. Investment Banks like Goldman Sachs can both give advice on securities and OWN the market makers of those securities. In fact, I see a conflict of interest if any financial bank owns specialist on the floor of the NYSE. There is no doubt that it should be illegal for investment banks to own a specialist on the floor of the NYSE. Let’s see how long it will be before this unethical loophole is closed. […]

Reform! About Time

I’m please to see that politicians are tackling the real cause of the financial mess, mortgage fraudsters and Wall Street Criminals. I have to admit that I got a giddy when I read…. “Under the House version, large financial companies including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. would be hit with billions of dollars in fees and would see new restrictions on their operations.” […]

Some good signs

Wow, this week was interesting to say the least. The market shrugged off both positive and negative news, now trading flat. The dollars strengthen because of the weakness in Europe. Gold sold off, a little of profit taken plus a strengthening dollar. If you look at the charts, you can start to see a mountain pattern forming. Next week, I’m expecting down down down for the markets. […]

Bond market bondage

Here comes the next set of economic beasts that our government, Goldman Sachs, Fed and Treasury will need to work together to battle. First, you have the REIT market that might not make it if housing doesn’t recover soon. Second, you have the bond market that will get marked down as interest rates rise. Unfortunately, for a housing recovery, you need an economic recovery, which will lead to increasing rates, which will end in a bond market mass stampede to the door. […]

Goldman Sachs finally gets it

I’ll be the first to admit that I have been particularly critical of how Goldman Sachs behaved during the RE bubble. The reason for me being particularly hard on them is because I expect more from those who were mostly born privileged and had the opportunity to obtain the best education. YEARS later, I see that they are finally getting it! […]

Suckers! Public offerings

You can always tell when the shit is about to hit the fan and the market is about to dive. A herd of worthless companies and their thieving investment banker (usually Goldman Sachs) start to offer the public shares of stocks that have been previously approved for issuing. This usually happens after companies have reported two consecutive growth quarters and an unusually long bull market, but are now expecting to disappoint. So basically, they sell you shares when stocks are high and later buy at a cheaper price (treasury stock). The benefit to a company for buying stocks and placing them into treasury is that they will have fewer shares outstanding and therefore will report higher earnings. The benefit of public offerings is that the company receives cash up front AND if they are reporting a loss, it gets split into a greater number of outstanding shares therefore reducing the loss per share. Based on this common knowledge, one can assume that now Bank of America, Citi and Goldman are working together to raise capital, you know that earnings or lack of will be getting diluted by a greater number of shares. […]